A recently released Politico/Morning Consult poll found that roughly 56 percent of voters believe that President Donald Trump will be re-elected in 2020 for a second term.
Included in that figure is 85 percent of Republicans who said the Trump administration’s second term is in America’s future, and a slight majority of independents, 51 percent to be exact, believe Trump will be around for the next five years. Only 35 percent of Democrats said they believe he will win in 2020.
The Wednesday poll found that more than half of those who support Trump are believed to be “very motivated” to get out the vote in 2020, whereas only 48 percent of respondents believed that Democrats would be “very motivated” to make a strong showing.
Unfortunately for Democratic supporters, Trump’s re-election chances appear to be improving since the start of the impeachment inquiry according to a new Monmouth University Poll out Wednesday, as Red Blue Divide previously reported.
The poll showed that about 42 percent of registered voters say Trump should be reelected in 2020, which is the best response received since the question was added to the poll a year ago.
“It’s important not to read too much into differences within the margin of error,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. “But the fact that there is no significant change in the current results suggests that the opening salvo of the House impeachment inquiry has had little impact on the overall 2020 dynamic.
“Voter opinion remains baked in,” he said.
The same poll found that Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are perceived as more contenders now than they were in the summer but that Warren is tied with Joe Biden, with 23 percent each, as the two top candidates in the Democratic primary and Sanders came in third at 20 percent.
“It is interesting that these results look a lot like what was considered an outlier poll back in August. But the current numbers are not an outlier with other recent national polls being all over the place. This is just another reminder that there is no such thing as a national primary. Most of the voters we talk to right now are not really anchoring their choices to an actual election decision just yet,” said Murray.
The number of voters believed to think that Trump should get a second term in office has been hanging around 37-39 percent for months and just cracked 40 percent for the first time in this month in the poll which was conducted by telephone from Oct. 30 to Nov. 3 with 908 adults in the US. The margin of error is a plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
Written by Savannah Pointer.