This report is not exactly what you’ve probably been hearing on the news cycle…
Five Senate Democrats trail their Republican challengers and would most likely lose their bids for reelection if the 2018 midterms were held today, according to polls from SurveyMonkey (to read the method of how the poll was conducted click here).
The new polls were published Thursday morning in Axios, and they show that Sens. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), Jon Tester (D-Mont.), Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.), and Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.) would all lose reelection to GOP challengers if voters were at the polls this week.
With the exception of McCaskill who is going toe to toe with Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley (R), the senators were polled against generic, unnamed GOP challengers.
In each of the above states, President Trump’s approval rating is just over 50 percent and they are all states that he won in the 2016 election. All the senators in question have approval ratings below the 50 percent mark.
The senator with the largest losing margin is Tester, who trails an unnamed GOP opponent by 13 points. He comes from a state where Trump enjoys an approval rating of 58 percent, significantly higher than his 43 percent national average.
The two least vulnerable Democrats in the new poll were Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) and Bill Nelson (D-Fla.). They both enjoy at least a 10-point gap between them and their announced opponents.
If the Democrats are to take back the majority in the Upper Chamber in 2018, they need to defend all of these seats and acquire two other seats.
The poll was conducted online between Feb. 12 and March 5. They surveyed 17,289 voters in Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, Montana and North Dakota. The poll did not display a margin of error.
Is this surprising to you?
Credit: The Hill